Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 3.453324 3.666276 3.892993 4.153622 4.446612 4.767781 5.149221
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 3.287563 3.587304 3.922785 4.330628 4.819502 5.395487 6.139500
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.021567 3.359124 3.750262 4.245354 4.868293 5.645608 6.723813
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.788707 3.145697 3.570865 4.127049 4.856127 5.813166 7.231843
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.625395 3.001191 3.460291 4.079976 4.925656 6.094777 7.956744
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.488864 2.878701 3.365875 4.042531 5.001607 6.396497 8.789651
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.420018 2.835698 3.368535 4.133332 5.267142 7.023166 10.348124
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.259189 2.663689 3.188566 3.954168 5.115120 6.973158 10.688759
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.189315 2.606495 3.158376 3.984470 5.284576 7.484718 12.339733
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.120419 2.546130 3.119026 3.996900 5.427087 7.981927 14.232259
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.016318 2.432544 2.998017 3.876003 5.335036 8.026402 15.054699
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.918312 2.322893 2.876686 3.745621 5.212980 7.992503 15.673237
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.872176 2.292605 2.881432 3.835983 5.532471 9.042499 20.981735
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.843940 2.285589 2.919842 3.986461 5.999240 10.655023 32.490015
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.761168 2.195862 2.827831 3.910277 6.017252 11.200412 41.452524
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.679007 2.102883 2.724985 3.805906 5.962611 11.547102 51.985547
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.617833 2.037576 2.660888 3.763591 6.034750 12.334576 77.876103
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.563530 1.979681 2.604674 3.729914 6.122094 13.255856 140.891478
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.536340 1.960715 2.608932 3.807639 6.486217 15.515364 3049.731479
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.465049 1.871888 2.494864 3.651472 6.255559 15.207257 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.433659 1.842452 2.476313 3.677189 6.489013 17.242972 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.401539 1.810332 2.451207 3.687480 6.688122 19.448452 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.351038 1.747747 2.371734 3.582020 6.552284 19.626508 NaN